Comments on: Post-war Economic Progress: Investment, Positioning, and Reforms in a New Sri Lankan Economy https://groundviews.org/2014/05/18/post-war-economic-progress-investment-positioning-and-reforms-in-a-new-sri-lankan-economy/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=post-war-economic-progress-investment-positioning-and-reforms-in-a-new-sri-lankan-economy Journalism for Citizens Tue, 27 May 2014 06:14:00 +0000 hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=6.7.1 By: Eelapalan https://groundviews.org/2014/05/18/post-war-economic-progress-investment-positioning-and-reforms-in-a-new-sri-lankan-economy/#comment-57134 Tue, 27 May 2014 06:14:00 +0000 http://groundviews.org/?p=15191#comment-57134 In reply to Anush.

Thanks. I would assume FDI would tend to follow institutional investors if the macro conditions are right. I hypothesize that any kind of conflict undermines FDI confidence. While a violent conflict is an obvious one, I would think even the sense that a conflict is not resolved permanently is a high enough risk factory for FDI investors. And the negative international attention on the island through UN others. If you are to look for the kind of off shoring that come with technology transfer, it is a much bigger commitment with a longterm ROI in mind. I don’t want to be seen as harping on the conflict angle but wanted to understand if there is a constituency in Sri Lanka that sees this kind of FDI as necessary for Sri Lanka. it would be difficult o imagine that an FDI investor would see Oligarchy as conductive environment and vice versa. I hope your article brings forth more discussions. and I hope you will also write about the economic ( windfall to certain section of population ) impact of militarization.

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By: Anush https://groundviews.org/2014/05/18/post-war-economic-progress-investment-positioning-and-reforms-in-a-new-sri-lankan-economy/#comment-57113 Mon, 26 May 2014 10:41:00 +0000 http://groundviews.org/?p=15191#comment-57113 In reply to Eelapalan.

Thanks for your comment Ealapalan. The question of foreign interest in GoSL bonds is not surprising, and not particularly linked to the issues raised above. Sri Lanka still remains a relatively attractive market to be included in emerging market securities’ baskets. Portfolio investment – foreign investment in government securities or stock markets – consider different issues as important, than do FDI investors. Sri Lanka’s favourable recent macro developments (reigning in budget deficit, higher dollar reserves, etc.) the gradual further opening of the capital account (investors confident of pulling money out in the event of a crisis or liquidity need), and the global trends in availability of int’l capital, can all explain foreign bond buyers interest in LK, even at competitive yields. FDI, unlike portfolio investors, will look at these issues and more (as mentioned in the article), as they look to physically locate in the country.

Question on militarization is a good question, but requires a whole other article – was beyond the scope of this one – and I may not be able to tackle it fully in a comment here. Will certainly aim to tackle it in a future piece.

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By: Eelapalan https://groundviews.org/2014/05/18/post-war-economic-progress-investment-positioning-and-reforms-in-a-new-sri-lankan-economy/#comment-57112 Mon, 26 May 2014 09:11:00 +0000 http://groundviews.org/?p=15191#comment-57112 Great write up. but what explains the foreign interest in the gov bonds. even at low yields? http://www.tamilguardian.com/article.asp?articleid=10580 . Also any thoughts on how militarization is integrated into the economy ( my post on it re. 2014 budget here http://eelapalan.tumblr.com/post/68548122741/money-where-the-sinhala-mouth-is ) and demilitarization ( a pre cursor to permanent political and thus economic stability) carries within an economic cost?

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By: Malathy Knight https://groundviews.org/2014/05/18/post-war-economic-progress-investment-positioning-and-reforms-in-a-new-sri-lankan-economy/#comment-56967 Mon, 19 May 2014 10:45:00 +0000 http://groundviews.org/?p=15191#comment-56967 Insightful analysis Anush. As you rightly point out, we maybe running out of time in the game for FDI. Every political regime (and not only in Sri Lanka) has had its share of policy reversals and inconsistencies. But when you match the level of “political consolidation” that this regime has “achieved” with policy reversals, nepotism, crony capitalism and huge rent-seeking – the tale promises to be nightmarish. On infrastructure, yes, we have done well on the physical infrastructure front – but what about health, education and other social infrastructure? Talking to SMEs – and in particular micro enterprises -in the regions also raises the question: development for whom?

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By: Harsha de Silva https://groundviews.org/2014/05/18/post-war-economic-progress-investment-positioning-and-reforms-in-a-new-sri-lankan-economy/#comment-56962 Sun, 18 May 2014 17:53:00 +0000 http://groundviews.org/?p=15191#comment-56962 Good analysis as always. While infrastructure is coming up, one has to be mindful of the sequencing of these in order of priority. Hambantota port stage 1,2,3 vs. Colombo South port terminal East, and West for example. We need to hugely increase investments is soft infrastructure, particularly education. I feel we are already slipping and the continued policy inconsistency and lack of reform will certainly not augur well…

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By: Fitzpatrick https://groundviews.org/2014/05/18/post-war-economic-progress-investment-positioning-and-reforms-in-a-new-sri-lankan-economy/#comment-56948 Sat, 17 May 2014 20:36:00 +0000 http://groundviews.org/?p=15191#comment-56948 Your bio especially your involvement in the peace sec. is interesting.

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